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If it's viruses your worried about, I suspect that there will be less worms and viruses written targeting XP after Vista is released so the mac/linux defense of "ain't a lot to bad stuff to be protected from" form of security will probably apply to buying gear with the old OS.
As for whether Vista will work on these new devices, MS is apparently going to "scale" the OS for less powerful machines so some of the low end Origami machines will have a stripped down OS, presumably wo the 3d graphical UI and will less overhead on the machine.
All very exciting after years of only incremental changes in the computing world.
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